Solarwinds Inc. reported 2Q14 earnings Thursday market close and
held a corresponding conference call at 5pm EST. Revenues came in $101.5MM up
31% yoy besting our $96.6MM estimate. Non GAAP EPS was up $0.41 vs our $0.38
estimate up 11% yoy. All eyes on license revenue which came in at $37.6MM up
21% yoy due to strength in core and systems management products. It should be
noted that this was the first time in company history where total revenue
exceeded $100MM, a fine feather in the cap of an underdog.
On a year-over-year basis, new business sales grew by 25%. Did
we not have faith incremental investment in the back half of last year would
pay off? While the NA installed base contributed to sales to existing customers
up 138%, more consistent momentum is gaining with EMEA and APAC, whose teams
were started just a year ago. Over the next 3 quarters, management believes
they have the “strongest schedule of product releases we’ve ever had as a
company,” words taken with strides as the stock was up ~7% in after hours
peaking ~12% today.
Solarwinds has expanded the depth and breadth of their leadership
team over the last several quarters akin to their international build out. Also,
last week, they
announced that Paul Cormier, President of product and technology at Red Hat has joined the Board of Directors. On June 18, 2014, 13 days before the end of 2Q they acquired Pingdom,
a leading provider of website monitoring and performance management solutions,
which are all offered as a service from the cloud.
Enough positives.
Total non-GAAP expenses grew by $23.4 million or 66%. Also, the company took a charge of $6.8 million
related to the abandonment of their former headquarters in Austin. Solarwinds leased
new space, which they moved into this past April to provide sufficient room for
planned future growth.
Solarwinds
generated record operating cash flow of $51 million as a result of strong
collections. In August, they expect to repay $40M outstanding on their revolving
credit facility. Lastly, approximately 70,000 shares were repurchased during
Q2 for ~$2.7M under the stock buyback plan announced last year. There is
approximately $12M still available under that buyback program, which is
scheduled to conclude on July 31, 1 week from now. What is downside?
Outlook for FY Non-GAAP operating margin increased 100 bps to 42%
based primarily on the margin outperformance in Q2 despite the dilutive impact
of the Pingdom acquisition. Revenue outlook for the second half was raised
$4.5M or $8.5M for FY14. On a stand-alone basis, Pingdom is approximately
$2-2.5M of the sum. The rest due to increased confidence in the business based
on demand generation, strengthened team, product roadmap and market
opportunity.
After our double down in late June our average share price increased to $35.59. Currently up around ~20% we see another 20% of appreciation down the road. Over the last 3 years the stock has sold for 29x current year earnings. We are maintaining our $52.00 PT representing a 31x multiple to our FY14 EPS of $1.71. Indeed a slight premium warranted due to consistency of results, robust growth rates, and product pipeline coupled with profitability.
After our double down in late June our average share price increased to $35.59. Currently up around ~20% we see another 20% of appreciation down the road. Over the last 3 years the stock has sold for 29x current year earnings. We are maintaining our $52.00 PT representing a 31x multiple to our FY14 EPS of $1.71. Indeed a slight premium warranted due to consistency of results, robust growth rates, and product pipeline coupled with profitability.
No comments:
Post a Comment