Diamond Offshore reported a net
income of $185 million this quarter or $1.33 per share, which is lower than the
same time last year when we saw net income of $201 million, or $1.45 per
share. However, if we revaluate
these numbers and pull out the one time event of the sale of 5 jackup rigs in
Q2 2012 ($50 million), 2013 was an improvement over last year.
The
firm’s profits were higher than what the street had anticipated, however the
revenue numbers they offered were lower than expected. The company has continued to see slow
growth due to the large number of rigs that are going through surveying or
restoration. It appears that over
the rest of the year we can expect the same with faster growth taking place more
in H2 of 2014 and thereafter.
The
biggest news out of the company is that their first drillship the Ocean
Blackhawk is going to be delayed at least 2 months. This is due to engine cooling problems that will have to be
taken care of before the ship can begin its’ first contract with Anadarko. It appears that this will be the only
drillship of the 4 that has this problem; so at this point the rest of the
schedule remains unchanged.
Overall,
I would rate Diamond Offshore as a Hold.
This is because I believe their cash flows will be relatively flat over
the coming 6 months and that the only news surprises we could see would be
negative. Until the company has
its drillships working there is no large growth story, the company is trading
at $67.93 and I anticipate we could see a movement to $63-$65 by yearend. If it is in this range than during Q1
of 2014 it may be worthwhile to evaluate taking a position on within the above
mentioned range.
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